An Open-Source Model for Projecting Small Area Demographic and Land-Use Change

This paper sets out the methodology and rationale for the demographic models used by the Infrastructure Transitions Research Consortium (ITRC) and fulfils the following objectives: (1) to demonstrate that demographic estimates are an essential input to infrastructure demand models, (2) to provide an overview of a comprehensive modeling framework that can be used by other modeling teams to produce demographic estimates and projections linked to land-use outputs, and (3) to demonstrate how that framework can be used to explore a range of spatial development scenarios.